Pogoń Szczecin vs GKS Katowice Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 37%
Home Win 2.69
X 25%
Draw 4.04
2 38%
Away Win 2.63
xG Home 1.44
xG Away 1.46
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.4 goals and GKS Katowice an expected 1.5 goals. Pogoń Szczecin have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and GKS Katowice at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:2 8.4%
2:1 8.3%
0:1 8%
1:0 7.9%
2:2 6.1%
0:2 5.8%
2:0 5.7%
0:0 5.5%
1:3 4.1%
3:1 4%
2:3 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick GKS Katowice Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Pogoń Szczecin GKS Katowice
9 League Position 5
45 Points 50
38% Win % 41%
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

Pogoń Szczecin at Home
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate
GKS Katowice Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Pogoń Szczecin
L W L W
GKS Katowice
L D D

Head to Head

29 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice 2 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
L
06 Apr 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin 4 : 0 GKS Katowice
L
27 Sep 2024 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice 3 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
L