1
8%
Home Win
11.88
X
17%
Draw
5.79
2
74%
Away Win
1.35
xG Home
0.58
xG Away
2.18
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pisa an expected 0.6 goals and Napoli an expected 2.2 goals. Pisa have a 8% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Napoli at 74%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
15.1%
0:1
13.9%
0:3
10.9%
1:2
8.7%
1:1
8%
0:0
6.4%
1:3
6.3%
0:4
6%
1:0
3.7%
1:4
3.4%
2:2
2.5%
2:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Napoli Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Pisa | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | League Position | 2 |
| 18 | Points | 76 |
| 5% | Win % | 61% |
| 0.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Pisa at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Napoli Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Pisa
L
L
Napoli
L
D
L
Head to Head
Napoli
3 : 2
Pisa
L
