Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 31%
Home Win 3.19
X 27%
Draw 3.75
2 42%
Away Win 2.38
xG Home 1.15
xG Away 1.37
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Piast Gliwice an expected 1.1 goals and Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.4 goals. Piast Gliwice have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Raków Częstochowa at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
0:1 11%
1:0 9.2%
1:2 8.7%
0:0 8%
0:2 7.6%
2:1 7.3%
2:0 5.3%
2:2 5%
1:3 4%
0:3 3.5%
3:1 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Raków Częstochowa Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Piast Gliwice Raków Częstochowa
15 League Position 4
41 Points 55
32% Win % 47%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Piast Gliwice at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Raków Częstochowa Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Piast Gliwice
D W
Raków Częstochowa
W

Head to Head

22 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa 1 : 3 Piast Gliwice
W
08 Mar 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice 0 : 3 Raków Częstochowa
W
30 Aug 2024 Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa 0 : 1 Piast Gliwice
W