1
40%
Home Win
2.48
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
34%
Away Win
2.96
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Piast Gliwice an expected 1.4 goals and Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.3 goals. Piast Gliwice have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Pogoń Szczecin at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
9.7%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
7.8%
0:0
6.9%
2:0
6.8%
0:2
5.5%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Piast Gliwice Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Piast Gliwice | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 9 |
| 41 | Points | 45 |
| 32% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Piast Gliwice at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Pogoń Szczecin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Piast Gliwice
D
W
Pogoń Szczecin
W
L
D
