Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 34%
Home Win 2.97
X 29%
Draw 3.43
2 37%
Away Win 2.69
xG Home 1.06
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Piast Gliwice an expected 1.1 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 1.1 goals. Piast Gliwice have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Legia Warszawa at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.4%
0:1 12.6%
1:0 11.8%
0:0 11.2%
1:2 7.6%
0:2 7.1%
2:1 7.1%
2:0 6.3%
2:2 4%
1:3 2.9%
0:3 2.7%
3:1 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Legia Warszawa Win
Probability 37%
Predicted Odds 2.7
Market Odds 2.88

Team Comparison

Piast Gliwice Legia Warszawa
15 League Position 6
41 Points 49
32% Win % 35%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09

Venue Form

Piast Gliwice at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Legia Warszawa Away
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Piast Gliwice
D W
Legia Warszawa
W W L W