1
17%
Home Win
5.91
X
17%
Draw
6.04
2
66%
Away Win
1.51
xG Home
1.37
xG Away
2.76
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
BTTS
70%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PEC Zwolle an expected 1.4 goals and NEC Nijmegen an expected 2.8 goals. PEC Zwolle have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and NEC Nijmegen at 66%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.4%
1:3
7.7%
0:2
6.1%
1:1
6.1%
2:2
5.8%
0:3
5.6%
1:4
5.3%
2:3
5.3%
0:1
4.4%
2:1
4.2%
0:4
3.9%
2:4
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| PEC Zwolle | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 3 |
| 37 | Points | 59 |
| 26% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.26 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
PEC Zwolle at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
NEC Nijmegen Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
PEC Zwolle
W
NEC Nijmegen
L
D
