1
17%
Home Win
5.89
X
19%
Draw
5.15
2
64%
Away Win
1.57
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
2.22
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PEC Zwolle an expected 1.1 goals and Ajax an expected 2.2 goals. PEC Zwolle have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Ajax at 64%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.8%
0:2
9.3%
1:1
8.9%
0:1
8.3%
1:3
7.3%
0:3
6.9%
2:2
5.2%
2:1
4.7%
1:4
4%
1:0
4%
2:3
3.9%
0:4
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ajax Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| PEC Zwolle | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 5 |
| 37 | Points | 56 |
| 26% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
PEC Zwolle at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Ajax Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
PEC Zwolle
W
Ajax
W
Head to Head
PEC Zwolle
0 : 0
Ajax
D
Ajax
3 : 1
PEC Zwolle
L
PEC Zwolle
0 : 1
Ajax
W
