1
20%
Home Win
4.97
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
53%
Away Win
1.9
xG Home
0.76
xG Away
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Panserraikos an expected 0.8 goals and Panetolikos an expected 1.4 goals. Panserraikos have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Panetolikos at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16%
1:1
12.2%
0:2
11.4%
0:0
11.2%
1:2
8.7%
1:0
8.6%
0:3
5.4%
2:1
4.7%
1:3
4.1%
2:2
3.3%
2:0
3.3%
0:4
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Panetolikos Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Panserraikos | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 11 |
| 17 | Points | 26 |
| 15% | Win % | 27% |
| 0.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 2.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |