AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Super League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.34
xG Away 0.44
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 32%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives AEK Athens FC an expected 2.3 goals and Panetolikos an expected 0.4 goals. AEK Athens FC have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Panetolikos at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 17%
1:0 14.5%
3:0 13.3%
4:0 7.7%
2:1 7.5%
1:1 6.4%
0:0 6.2%
3:1 5.8%
4:1 3.4%
0:1 2.7%
2:2 1.6%
1:2 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick AEK Athens FC Win
Probability 80%
Predicted Odds 1.25
Market Odds 1.33

Team Comparison

AEK Athens FC Panetolikos
1 League Position 11
60 Points 26
69% Win % 27%
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46

Venue Form

AEK Athens FC at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Panetolikos Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

AEK Athens FC
W
Panetolikos
L W