1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.75
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
28%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aris Thessaloniki an expected 0.8 goals and Atromitos an expected 0.8 goals. Aris Thessaloniki have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 37%, and Atromitos at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
22.1%
0:1
16.7%
1:0
16.7%
1:1
12.6%
0:2
6.3%
2:0
6.3%
1:2
4.8%
2:1
4.7%
2:2
1.8%
0:3
1.6%
3:0
1.6%
1:3
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Draw |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Aris Thessaloniki | Atromitos | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 30 | Points | 29 |
| 23% | Win % | 27% |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |