1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
29%
Draw
3.44
2
27%
Away Win
3.71
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Panetolikos an expected 1.2 goals and Asteras Tripolis an expected 0.9 goals. Panetolikos have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Asteras Tripolis at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.6%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.8%
0:1
10.6%
2:0
9%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
4.8%
3:0
3.7%
2:2
3.7%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Asteras Tripolis Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Panetolikos | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 14 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 27% | Win % | 12% |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Panetolikos at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Asteras Tripolis Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Panetolikos
L
Asteras Tripolis
W
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Panetolikos
L
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
L
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Panetolikos
D