PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis — Prediction

2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Super League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Super League 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

PAOK
  • OFI Crete 2–1 PAOK
  • Panetolikos 1–2 PAOK
  • PAOK 2–0 Aris Thessaloniki
  • Panathinaikos 3–1 PAOK
  • PAOK 2–0 Dynamo Kyiv
Asteras Tripolis
  • Asteras Tripolis 0–0 Levadiakos
  • OFI Crete 2–2 Asteras Tripolis
  • Asteras Tripolis 1–1 AEK Athens FC
  • Iraklis 1908 0–2 Asteras Tripolis
  • Panetolikos 1–2 Asteras Tripolis
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: PAOK 26 · Asteras Tripolis 26. Data saved: 2026-10-31 18:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: PAOK 70% · 2026-10-31 17:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.68
Model goal expectation · 2 0.40
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 31%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: PAOK 2.68 · Asteras Tripolis 0.40.
1 85% · X 11% · 2 4%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 16.5%
3:0 14.7%
1:0 12.3%
4:0 9.8%
2:1 6.6%
3:1 5.9%
1:1 5%
0:0 4.6%
4:1 4%
0:1 1.8%
2:2 1.3%
3:2 1.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome PAOK Win
Probability 85%
Predicted Odds 1.18

Team Comparison

PAOK Asteras Tripolis
3 League Position 14
57 Points 17
65% Win % 12%
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58

Venue Form

PAOK at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Asteras Tripolis Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

PAOK
L W W L W
Asteras Tripolis
D D D W W