Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC — Prediction

0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Super League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
Super League 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Panathinaikos
  • Volos NFC 0–0 Panathinaikos
  • Kairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
  • Kalamata 0–1 Panathinaikos
  • Panathinaikos 1–0 Panetolikos
  • Panathinaikos 3–1 PAOK
AEK Athens FC
  • AEK Athens FC 5–0 Panetolikos
  • Volos NFC 1–2 AEK Athens FC
  • Asteras Tripolis 1–1 AEK Athens FC
  • AEK Athens FC 1–0 LASK Linz
  • AEK Athens FC 5–0 Aris Thessaloniki
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Panathinaikos 26 · AEK Athens FC 26. Data saved: 2026-10-31 18:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Panathinaikos 42% · 2026-10-31 17:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.94
Model goal expectation · 2 1.37
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 45%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Panathinaikos 0.94 · AEK Athens FC 1.37.
1 26% · X 27% · 2 47%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.6%
1:1 12.8%
0:0 9.9%
0:2 9.3%
1:0 9.3%
1:2 8.8%
2:1 6%
2:0 4.4%
0:3 4.3%
2:2 4.1%
1:3 4%
2:3 1.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome AEK Athens FC Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Panathinaikos AEK Athens FC
4 League Position 1
49 Points 60
54% Win % 69%
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65

Venue Form

Panathinaikos at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
AEK Athens FC Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Panathinaikos
D W W W W
AEK Athens FC
W W D W W