1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.27
xG Away
0.62
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Panathinaikos an expected 2.3 goals and Asteras Tripolis an expected 0.6 goals. Panathinaikos have a 75% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Asteras Tripolis at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.4%
1:0
12.7%
3:0
10.9%
2:1
8.9%
1:1
7.8%
3:1
6.7%
4:0
6.2%
0:0
5.6%
4:1
3.8%
0:1
3.5%
2:2
2.7%
1:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Panathinaikos Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 75% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.33 |
| Market Odds | 1.42 |
Team Comparison
| Panathinaikos | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 14 |
| 49 | Points | 17 |
| 54% | Win % | 12% |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Panathinaikos at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Asteras Tripolis Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Panathinaikos
W
W
W
Asteras Tripolis
D
W
W
