1
66%
Home Win
1.51
X
22%
Draw
4.53
2
12%
Away Win
8.69
xG Home
1.77
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.8 goals and Puebla an expected 0.6 goals. Pachuca have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Puebla at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.9%
2:0
15%
1:1
9.8%
0:0
9.5%
3:0
8.9%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
5.5%
3:1
5.1%
4:0
3.9%
1:2
2.8%
2:2
2.5%
4:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Pachuca | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 17 |
| 31 | Points | 13 |
| 53% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Pachuca at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Puebla Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Pachuca
L
W
W
L
Puebla
L
W
L
L
