1
30%
Home Win
3.34
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
44%
Away Win
2.26
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.2 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.5 goals. Pachuca have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
10.6%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.4%
0:2
7.8%
0:0
7.2%
2:1
7.1%
2:2
5.2%
2:0
4.9%
1:3
4.4%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Pachuca | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 31 | Points | 36 |
| 53% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Pachuca at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Pachuca
L
W
W
L
Guadalajara Chivas
D
L
D
