1
43%
Home Win
2.32
X
30%
Draw
3.3
2
27%
Away Win
3.75
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.2 goals and Club Tijuana an expected 0.8 goals. Pachuca have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Club Tijuana at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.6%
0:0
13.5%
1:1
13.2%
0:1
11.4%
2:0
9.1%
2:1
7.7%
1:2
5.6%
0:2
4.8%
3:0
3.5%
2:2
3.2%
3:1
3%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Pachuca | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 9 |
| 31 | Points | 23 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Pachuca at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Club Tijuana Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Pachuca
L
W
W
L
Club Tijuana
D
D
