1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
27%
Draw
3.64
2
29%
Away Win
3.51
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Osasuna an expected 1.3 goals and Espanyol an expected 1.0 goals. Osasuna have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Espanyol at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
1:0
12.6%
0:1
9.6%
0:0
9.4%
2:1
8.7%
2:0
8.5%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
4.9%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
3.9%
3:0
3.8%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Osasuna Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Osasuna | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 11 |
| 42 | Points | 46 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Osasuna at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Espanyol Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Osasuna
L
L
W
Espanyol
L
L
