1
41%
Home Win
2.43
X
24%
Draw
4.1
2
34%
Away Win
2.9
xG Home
1.56
xG Away
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orlando City an expected 1.6 goals and FC Cincinnati an expected 1.4 goals. Orlando City have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and FC Cincinnati at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
2:1
8.8%
1:0
8%
1:2
7.9%
0:1
7.2%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
6.2%
0:0
5.1%
0:2
5.1%
3:1
4.6%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orlando City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Orlando City | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 2 |
| 53 | Points | 65 |
| 41% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Orlando City at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
FC Cincinnati Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Orlando City
W
L
W
FC Cincinnati
D
W
D
