1
26%
Home Win
3.82
X
25%
Draw
4.02
2
49%
Away Win
2.04
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlanta United FC an expected 1.1 goals and New York Red Bulls an expected 1.6 goals. Atlanta United FC have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and New York Red Bulls at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
0:1
10.7%
1:2
9.5%
0:2
8.6%
1:0
7.4%
0:0
6.7%
2:1
6.5%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
5.1%
0:3
4.6%
2:0
4.1%
2:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | New York Red Bulls Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Atlanta United FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 10 |
| 28 | Points | 43 |
| 15% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Atlanta United FC at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
New York Red Bulls Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
L
New York Red Bulls
W
L
L
