1
47%
Home Win
2.13
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
26%
Away Win
3.87
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Montréal Impact an expected 1.4 goals and DC United an expected 1.0 goals. Montréal Impact have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and DC United at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.3%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.6%
2:0
9.3%
0:1
9.2%
2:1
8.8%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.3%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
4.1%
3:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Montréal Impact Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Montréal Impact | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 15 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18% | Win % | 15% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
Venue Form
Montréal Impact at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
DC United Away
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Montréal Impact
W
W
W
DC United
D
W
D
D
L
