Orenburg vs Zenit Saint Petersburg Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Premier League
1 9%
Home Win 10.68
X 20%
Draw 4.95
2 70%
Away Win 1.42
xG Home 0.52
xG Away 1.89
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 34%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Orenburg an expected 0.5 goals and Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 1.9 goals. Orenburg have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Zenit Saint Petersburg at 70%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 16.9%
0:2 16%
0:3 10.1%
0:0 9%
1:1 8.8%
1:2 8.4%
1:3 5.3%
0:4 4.8%
1:0 4.7%
1:4 2.5%
2:1 2.3%
2:2 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Zenit Saint Petersburg Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Orenburg Zenit Saint Petersburg
12 League Position 1
29 Points 68
23% Win % 67%
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63

Venue Form

Orenburg at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Zenit Saint Petersburg Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Orenburg
D L
Zenit Saint Petersburg
W

Head to Head

08 Mar 2026 Premier League
FC Orenburg 2 : 1 Zenit
L
22 Oct 2025 Cup
Zenit 6 : 0 FC Orenburg
L
27 Sep 2025 Premier League
Zenit 5 : 2 FC Orenburg
L