1
9%
Home Win
10.68
X
20%
Draw
4.95
2
70%
Away Win
1.42
xG Home
0.52
xG Away
1.89
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orenburg an expected 0.5 goals and Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 1.9 goals. Orenburg have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Zenit Saint Petersburg at 70%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.9%
0:2
16%
0:3
10.1%
0:0
9%
1:1
8.8%
1:2
8.4%
1:3
5.3%
0:4
4.8%
1:0
4.7%
1:4
2.5%
2:1
2.3%
2:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Orenburg | Zenit Saint Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 1 |
| 29 | Points | 68 |
| 23% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.63 |
