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Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow — Prediction

Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 16:45 UTC
Competition
Russian Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lokomotiv Moscow
  • FC Rostov 2–0 Lokomotiv Moscow
  • Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Krylya Sovetov
  • Zenit Saint Petersburg 2–1 Lokomotiv Moscow
  • Baltika 0–1 Lokomotiv Moscow
  • Makhachkala 2–1 Lokomotiv Moscow
Spartak Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow 2–0 Spartak Moscow
  • Spartak Moscow 1–0 Fakel Voronezh
  • Spartak Moscow 3–0 FC Rostov
  • Dinamo Moscow 2–1 Spartak Moscow
  • Akhmat Grozny 1–0 Spartak Moscow
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lokomotiv Moscow 30 · Spartak Moscow 30. Data saved: 2026-10-31 16:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Lokomotiv Moscow 51% · 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 49%
Home Win 2.02
X 22%
Draw 4.61
2 29%
Away Win 3.47
Model goal expectation · 1 1.99
Model goal expectation · 2 1.49
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
BTTS 67%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lokomotiv Moscow 1.99 · Spartak Moscow 1.49.
1 49% · X 22% · 2 29%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.1%
2:1 9.1%
1:2 6.8%
2:2 6.8%
1:0 6.1%
2:0 6.1%
3:1 6%
0:1 4.6%
3:2 4.5%
3:0 4.1%
0:2 3.4%
1:3 3.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Lokomotiv Moscow Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv Moscow Spartak Moscow
3 League Position 4
53 Points 52
47% Win % 50%
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

Lokomotiv Moscow at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Spartak Moscow Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Lokomotiv Moscow
L D L W L
Spartak Moscow
L W W L L

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