Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow — Prediction

0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC
Competition
Russian Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Orenburg
  • Akhmat Grozny 0–1 Orenburg
  • Dinamo Moscow 1–0 Orenburg
  • Orenburg 2–2 Akron
  • Orenburg 0–3 Zenit Saint Petersburg
CSKA Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow 2–0 Spartak Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow 1–1 Rubin
  • Zenit Saint Petersburg 1–2 CSKA Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow 1–1 Krylya Sovetov
  • CSKA Moscow 2–1 Baltika
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Orenburg 30 · CSKA Moscow 30. Data saved: 2026-10-31 16:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: CSKA Moscow 42% · 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.91
Model goal expectation · 2 1.57
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
BTTS 47%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Orenburg 0.91 · CSKA Moscow 1.57.
1 22% · X 25% · 2 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.2%
1:1 12%
0:2 10.4%
1:2 9.4%
0:0 8.4%
1:0 7.6%
0:3 5.4%
2:1 5.4%
1:3 4.9%
2:2 4.2%
2:0 3.4%
2:3 2.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome CSKA Moscow Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89

Team Comparison

Orenburg CSKA Moscow
12 League Position 5
29 Points 51
23% Win % 50%
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Orenburg at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
CSKA Moscow Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Orenburg
W L D L
CSKA Moscow
W D W D W