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Norwich City vs Watford — Prediction

Norwich City Norwich City
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Watford Watford

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Norwich City
  • Charlton 1–3 Norwich City
  • Norwich City 3–4 Bolton
  • Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City
  • Norwich City 2–1 Birmingham
  • Sheffield United 1–3 Norwich City
Watford
  • Wolves 1–0 Watford
  • Bristol City 1–0 Watford
  • Watford 1–2 Stoke City
  • Watford 2–1 Preston
  • West Brom 1–0 Watford
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Norwich City 46 · Watford 46. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Norwich City 48% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 52%
Home Win 1.94
X 25%
Draw 4.01
2 24%
Away Win 4.25
Model goal expectation · 1 1.60
Model goal expectation · 2 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Norwich City 1.60 · Watford 1.00.
1 52% · X 25% · 2 24%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 11.9%
1:1 11.9%
2:0 9.5%
2:1 9.5%
0:0 7.4%
0:1 7.4%
1:2 5.9%
3:0 5.1%
3:1 5.1%
2:2 4.7%
0:2 3.7%
3:2 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Norwich City Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92

Team Comparison

Norwich City Watford
9 League Position 16
65 Points 57
41% Win % 30%
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41

Venue Form

Norwich City at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Watford Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Norwich City
W L L W W
Watford
L L L W L

More Championship Predictions

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Sat 31 Oct Tip: 1 · 45%
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Middlesbrough vs Charlton
Sat 31 Oct Tip: 1 · 60%
Millwall vs Derby
Sat 31 Oct Tip: 1 · 46%