1
34%
Home Win
2.93
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
41%
Away Win
2.42
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Norwich City an expected 1.4 goals and Southampton an expected 1.5 goals. Norwich City have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Southampton at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:2
8.8%
0:1
8.3%
2:1
7.9%
1:0
7.4%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.4%
2:0
5.1%
1:3
4.5%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Southampton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Norwich City | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 4 |
| 65 | Points | 80 |
| 41% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Norwich City at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Southampton Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Norwich City
L
W
D
W
Southampton
L
D
D
W
W
