1
45%
Home Win
2.23
X
27%
Draw
3.7
2
28%
Away Win
3.56
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Birmingham an expected 1.4 goals and Preston an expected 1.0 goals. Birmingham have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Preston at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
12.3%
0:1
9.2%
0:0
8.9%
2:1
8.8%
2:0
8.5%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
4.1%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Birmingham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Birmingham | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 14 |
| 64 | Points | 60 |
| 37% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Birmingham at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Preston Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Birmingham
D
D
W
W
Preston
D
L
W
L
