1
47%
Home Win
2.11
X
29%
Draw
3.49
2
24%
Away Win
4.17
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bristol City an expected 1.3 goals and Blackburn an expected 0.8 goals. Bristol City have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Blackburn at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.4%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
11.9%
2:0
10%
0:1
9.9%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
5.3%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
4.1%
3:1
3.6%
2:2
3.5%
3:2
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bristol City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Bristol City | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 20 |
| 62 | Points | 52 |
| 37% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Bristol City at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Blackburn Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bristol City
W
L
W
L
Blackburn
D
L
W
