Norwich City vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.58
xG Away 0.92
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Norwich City an expected 1.6 goals and Portsmouth FC an expected 0.9 goals. Norwich City have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Portsmouth FC at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 12.9%
1:1 11.9%
2:0 10.2%
2:1 9.4%
0:0 8.2%
0:1 7.6%
1:2 5.5%
3:0 5.4%
3:1 5%
2:2 4.3%
0:2 3.5%
3:2 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Norwich City Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Norwich City Portsmouth FC
9 League Position 18
65 Points 55
41% Win % 30%
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39

Venue Form

Norwich City at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Portsmouth FC Away
W1 D2 L1 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Norwich City
L W D W
Portsmouth FC
D W L D