NK Varaždin vs Istra 1961 Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 · HNL
1 49%
Home Win 2.04
X 26%
Draw 3.8
2 25%
Away Win 4.05
xG Home 1.47
xG Away 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Varaždin an expected 1.5 goals and Istra 1961 an expected 1.0 goals. NK Varaždin have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Istra 1961 at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 12.9%
1:1 12.4%
2:0 9.5%
2:1 9.1%
0:0 8.8%
0:1 8.4%
1:2 6%
3:0 4.7%
3:1 4.5%
2:2 4.4%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick NK Varaždin Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

NK Varaždin Istra 1961
3 League Position 6
54 Points 43
42% Win % 33%
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39

Venue Form

NK Varaždin at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

NK Varaždin
W