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HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · HNL
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
HNL
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

HNK Gorica
  • HNK Hajduk Split 5–0 HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica 0–0 NK Lokomotiva
  • NK Osijek 1–1 HNK Gorica
  • Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica 2–2 NK Varaždin
NK Slaven Belupo
  • NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 Istra 1961
  • NK Varaždin 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo
  • NK Slaven Belupo 1–5 Dinamo Zagreb
  • Rudes 2–2 NK Slaven Belupo
  • HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Slaven Belupo
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: HNK Gorica 36 · NK Slaven Belupo 36. Data saved: 2026-11-06 02:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: HNK Gorica 38% · 2026-11-06 01:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.53
Model goal expectation · 2 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: HNK Gorica 1.53 · NK Slaven Belupo 1.19.
1 45% · X 25% · 2 30%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.2%
0:1 7.9%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 7.1%
0:0 6.6%
2:2 5.4%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.7%
3:0 3.9%
1:3 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome HNK Gorica Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

HNK Gorica NK Slaven Belupo
8 League Position 7
41 Points 41
31% Win % 28%
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69

Venue Form

HNK Gorica at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
NK Slaven Belupo Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Gorica
L D D W D
NK Slaven Belupo
L W L D L

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.