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Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · HNL
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Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Competition
HNL
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Istra 1961
  • NK Slaven Belupo 0–2 Istra 1961
  • NK Lokomotiva 2–0 Istra 1961
  • Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica
  • Istra 1961 3–2 Rudes
  • Istra 1961 2–3 NK Lokomotiva
HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka 1–1 NK Varaždin
  • Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka
  • Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka 3–0 HNK Hajduk Split
  • NK Lokomotiva 0–0 HNK Rijeka
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Istra 1961 36 · HNK Rijeka 36. Data saved: 2026-11-06 02:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: HNK Rijeka 37% · 2026-11-06 01:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.88
Model goal expectation · 2 1.32
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 43%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Istra 1961 0.88 · HNK Rijeka 1.32.
1 25% · X 28% · 2 47%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 14.7%
1:1 12.9%
0:0 11.1%
1:0 9.8%
0:2 9.6%
1:2 8.5%
2:1 5.7%
2:0 4.3%
0:3 4.2%
2:2 3.7%
1:3 3.7%
3:1 1.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome HNK Rijeka Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Istra 1961 HNK Rijeka
6 League Position 4
43 Points 53
33% Win % 39%
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Istra 1961 at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
HNK Rijeka Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Istra 1961
W L L W L
HNK Rijeka
D L W W D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.