1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
25%
Away Win
4.05
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Varaždin an expected 1.5 goals and Istra 1961 an expected 1.0 goals. NK Varaždin have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Istra 1961 at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.9%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
9.5%
2:1
9.1%
0:0
8.8%
0:1
8.4%
1:2
6%
3:0
4.7%
3:1
4.5%
2:2
4.4%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Istra 1961 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| NK Varaždin | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 54 | Points | 43 |
| 42% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Head to Head
Istra 1961
2 : 1
NK Varazdin
L
NK Varazdin
1 : 3
Istra 1961
W
Istra 1961
1 : 0
NK Varazdin
L