1
32%
Home Win
3.12
X
28%
Draw
3.51
2
39%
Away Win
2.53
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Varaždin an expected 1.1 goals and HNK Rijeka an expected 1.2 goals. NK Varaždin have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and HNK Rijeka at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.5%
1:0
10.9%
0:0
10.3%
1:2
8%
0:2
7.6%
2:1
7%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
4.2%
1:3
3.2%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Rijeka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| NK Varaždin | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 54 | Points | 53 |
| 42% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
NK Varaždin at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
NK Varaždin
W
