1
27%
Home Win
3.75
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
48%
Away Win
2.1
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
1.51
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Varaždin an expected 1.1 goals and HNK Hajduk Split an expected 1.5 goals. NK Varaždin have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and HNK Hajduk Split at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
11.6%
1:2
9.2%
0:2
8.7%
1:0
8.1%
0:0
7.7%
2:1
6.5%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
4.6%
0:3
4.4%
2:0
4.3%
2:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Hajduk Split Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| NK Varaždin | HNK Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 54 | Points | 68 |
| 42% | Win % | 56% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
