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NK Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · HNL
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Competition
HNL
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

NK Varaždin
  • HNK Rijeka 1–1 NK Varaždin
  • NK Varaždin 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo
  • HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varaždin
  • NK Lokomotiva 0–1 NK Varaždin
  • NK Varaždin 0–0 NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
  • Rudes 1–0 Dinamo Zagreb
  • Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka
  • NK Slaven Belupo 1–5 Dinamo Zagreb
  • Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NK Lokomotiva
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0 Dinamo Zagreb
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: NK Varaždin 36 · Dinamo Zagreb 36. Data saved: 2026-11-07 06:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Dinamo Zagreb 57% · 2026-11-07 04:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.82
Model goal expectation · 2 2.30
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
BTTS 51%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: NK Varaždin 0.82 · Dinamo Zagreb 2.30.
1 12% · X 18% · 2 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 11.6%
0:1 10.1%
1:2 9.6%
0:3 8.9%
1:1 8.3%
1:3 7.3%
0:4 5.1%
0:0 4.4%
1:4 4.2%
2:2 4%
1:0 3.6%
2:1 3.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Dinamo Zagreb Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41

Team Comparison

NK Varaždin Dinamo Zagreb
3 League Position 1
54 Points 86
42% Win % 75%
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2.58
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78

Venue Form

NK Varaždin at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Dinamo Zagreb Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

NK Varaždin
D L L W D
Dinamo Zagreb
L W W W D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Continue the match analysis

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.