1
42%
Home Win
2.4
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
33%
Away Win
3.01
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Slaven Belupo an expected 1.5 goals and NK Lokomotiva an expected 1.3 goals. NK Slaven Belupo have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and NK Lokomotiva at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
9%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
7.9%
1:2
7.8%
2:0
6.8%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.8%
0:2
5.2%
3:1
4.4%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NK Slaven Belupo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| NK Slaven Belupo | NK Lokomotiva | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 5 |
| 41 | Points | 44 |
| 28% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
