1
25%
Home Win
4.04
X
28%
Draw
3.62
2
48%
Away Win
2.1
xG Home
0.90
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Lokomotiva an expected 0.9 goals and HNK Rijeka an expected 1.4 goals. NK Lokomotiva have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and HNK Rijeka at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.1%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
10.3%
0:2
9.7%
1:0
9.3%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
5.7%
0:3
4.4%
2:0
4.2%
1:3
4%
2:2
3.9%
2:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Rijeka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| NK Lokomotiva | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 4 |
| 44 | Points | 53 |
| 28% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
