1
38%
Home Win
2.63
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
34%
Away Win
2.96
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Lokomotiva an expected 1.2 goals and HNK Gorica an expected 1.1 goals. NK Lokomotiva have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and HNK Gorica at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
1:0
11.8%
0:1
11%
0:0
9.8%
2:1
7.9%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
7.1%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
3.2%
3:0
2.8%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NK Lokomotiva Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| NK Lokomotiva | HNK Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 8 |
| 44 | Points | 41 |
| 28% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
