1
28%
Home Win
3.63
X
27%
Draw
3.75
2
46%
Away Win
2.18
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New York Red Bulls an expected 1.0 goals and Philadelphia Union an expected 1.4 goals. New York Red Bulls have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Philadelphia Union at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
0:1
12.1%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.9%
0:2
8.6%
0:0
8.5%
2:1
6.6%
2:2
4.7%
2:0
4.6%
1:3
4.2%
0:3
4.1%
3:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Philadelphia Union Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| New York Red Bulls | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 1 |
| 43 | Points | 66 |
| 35% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
New York Red Bulls at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Philadelphia Union Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
New York Red Bulls
L
D
W
Philadelphia Union
L
L
D
W
