1
22%
Home Win
4.52
X
23%
Draw
4.39
2
55%
Away Win
1.82
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.84
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlanta United FC an expected 1.1 goals and Charlotte an expected 1.8 goals. Atlanta United FC have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Charlotte at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
0:1
9.9%
1:2
9.9%
0:2
9.1%
1:3
6%
1:0
5.8%
2:1
5.8%
0:3
5.6%
0:0
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
2:3
3.3%
2:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlotte Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Atlanta United FC | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 4 |
| 28 | Points | 59 |
| 15% | Win % | 56% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Atlanta United FC at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Charlotte Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
L
Charlotte
L
L
L
W
