1
77%
Home Win
1.29
X
13%
Draw
7.68
2
9%
Away Win
10.82
xG Home
3.01
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter Miami an expected 3.0 goals and Montréal Impact an expected 1.0 goals. Inter Miami have a 77% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Montréal Impact at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
8.3%
2:0
8.3%
3:1
8.2%
2:1
8.2%
4:0
6.2%
4:1
6.2%
1:0
5.5%
1:1
5.5%
3:2
4.1%
2:2
4.1%
4:2
3.1%
1:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Miami Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 77% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.3 |
| Market Odds | 1.38 |
Team Comparison
| Inter Miami | Montréal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 13 |
| 65 | Points | 28 |
| 56% | Win % | 18% |
| 2.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Inter Miami at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Montréal Impact Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Inter Miami
L
D
Montréal Impact
L
L
