1
36%
Home Win
2.81
X
27%
Draw
3.73
2
38%
Away Win
2.66
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 1.2 goals and Monterrey an expected 1.3 goals. Necaxa have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Monterrey at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
0:1
10.2%
1:0
9.9%
1:2
8.2%
0:0
8%
2:1
7.9%
0:2
6.6%
2:0
6.2%
2:2
5.1%
1:3
3.5%
3:1
3.3%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Necaxa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Necaxa | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 13 |
| 18 | Points | 18 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Necaxa at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Monterrey Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Necaxa
D
D
Monterrey
L
Head to Head
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Monterrey U21
L
Monterrey U21
0 : 0
Necaxa U21
D
