1
46%
Home Win
2.17
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
30%
Away Win
3.36
xG Home
1.66
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 1.7 goals and León FC an expected 1.3 goals. Necaxa have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and León FC at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
2:1
9.3%
1:0
8.7%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
7.2%
0:1
6.8%
2:2
6%
0:0
5.3%
3:1
5.1%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Necaxa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Necaxa | León FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 10 |
| 18 | Points | 22 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Necaxa at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
León FC Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Necaxa
D
D
León FC
L
L
