1
19%
Home Win
5.24
X
23%
Draw
4.38
2
58%
Away Win
1.72
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
1.81
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 0.9 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.8 goals. Necaxa have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Cruz Azul at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.6%
1:1
10.9%
0:2
10.5%
1:2
9.8%
0:0
6.4%
0:3
6.4%
1:0
6%
1:3
5.9%
2:1
5.1%
2:2
4.6%
0:4
2.9%
2:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Necaxa | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 3 |
| 18 | Points | 33 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Necaxa at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Necaxa
D
D
Cruz Azul
W
W
D
