1
28%
Home Win
3.63
X
30%
Draw
3.34
2
42%
Away Win
2.35
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 0.9 goals and Club América an expected 1.2 goals. Necaxa have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Club América at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15%
1:1
13.3%
0:0
12.9%
1:0
11.3%
0:2
8.8%
1:2
7.8%
2:1
5.8%
2:0
5%
0:3
3.4%
2:2
3.4%
1:3
3%
3:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Club América Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Necaxa | Club América | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 8 |
| 18 | Points | 25 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Necaxa at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Club América Away
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Necaxa
L
D
D
Club América
L
D
W
D
W
