1
63%
Home Win
1.58
X
18%
Draw
5.51
2
19%
Away Win
5.36
xG Home
2.49
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NEC Nijmegen an expected 2.5 goals and Telstar an expected 1.3 goals. NEC Nijmegen have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Telstar at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.1%
3:1
7.5%
1:1
7.3%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
5.9%
3:0
5.8%
1:0
5.6%
3:2
4.9%
1:2
4.8%
4:1
4.7%
4:0
3.6%
4:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| NEC Nijmegen | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 14 |
| 59 | Points | 37 |
| 47% | Win % | 26% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
NEC Nijmegen at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Telstar Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
D
Telstar
D
