1
59%
Home Win
1.71
X
19%
Draw
5.24
2
22%
Away Win
4.5
xG Home
2.40
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NEC Nijmegen an expected 2.4 goals and GO Ahead Eagles an expected 1.4 goals. NEC Nijmegen have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and GO Ahead Eagles at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.9%
1:1
7.4%
3:1
7.1%
2:2
6.4%
2:0
6.2%
1:2
5.4%
3:2
5.1%
1:0
5.1%
3:0
4.9%
4:1
4.3%
2:3
3.1%
0:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| NEC Nijmegen | GO Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 12 |
| 59 | Points | 38 |
| 47% | Win % | 24% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
NEC Nijmegen at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
GO Ahead Eagles Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
D
D
GO Ahead Eagles
D
D
L
