1
41%
Home Win
2.47
X
25%
Draw
3.92
2
34%
Away Win
2.94
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motor Lublin an expected 1.4 goals and Piast Gliwice an expected 1.3 goals. Motor Lublin have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Piast Gliwice at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
9.2%
2:1
8.7%
0:1
8.3%
1:2
7.9%
2:0
6.7%
0:0
6.4%
2:2
5.7%
0:2
5.4%
3:1
4.2%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motor Lublin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Motor Lublin | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 15 |
| 43 | Points | 41 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Motor Lublin at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Piast Gliwice Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Motor Lublin
L
L
L
Piast Gliwice
L
D
D
L
