1
29%
Home Win
3.41
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
46%
Away Win
2.19
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motor Lublin an expected 1.2 goals and Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.6 goals. Motor Lublin have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Gornik Zabrze at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
0:1
10%
1:2
9.2%
0:2
7.7%
1:0
7.7%
2:1
7.1%
0:0
6.4%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
4.8%
2:0
4.6%
0:3
4%
2:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gornik Zabrze Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Motor Lublin | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 2 |
| 43 | Points | 56 |
| 29% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Motor Lublin at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Gornik Zabrze Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Motor Lublin
L
L
L
Gornik Zabrze
W
W
D
W
